The much heralded cold spell has arrived in Ireland bringing the coldest weather since 2010. Last night temperatures sunk to -7 at Mt Dillon and there was snow in Dublin. This only signals day one of a cold spell that is set to last until at least mid December and may last even longer. Over 60 per cent of weather charts show cold weather while 37 per cent show milder scenarios.
Lowest temperature -7c
Most snow 2cm Dublin 16.
Keep tuned for further updates.
There is heavy sleet and snow in the forecast for Ireland this week. There will be very cold Northerly winds as a low pressure system moves down from the Northeast. This will bring some extremely cold weather with temperatures going as low as minus 4 at night with ice and snow by the day. Conditions will be very dangerous on the roads especially after midweek and there are likely to be several weather warnings in place during this time. As we can see from the map the Wintry showers have already arrived in the East. Further updates to follow.
So with the weather cold and unsettled it's time to settle down and watch the world cup. So let's enter the fantasy world Cup on these dark and cold nights. Oops I've signed in. But my username is my own name. How do I change it?
The 1st thing to do is quit the league you have joined and sign out by pressing leave league. Then get another email address you have and create a new username through this one. If you don't have an email address just create a new one it's pretty simple and the username prompt will come up. Once again create a new name but this time your username will be your team name and voila.
Ok back to the weather. Its staying cool and cat. Actually Qatar.
After Ireland had such a dry and fairly warm Summer overall the pattern of weather that Autumn has greeted us with has come as a bit of a shock to the system. There has been rain on most days and no sign at all of any dry weather.
But what is causing all this? Let's go through some of the causes step by step.
1. The sea temperatures.
Over the Summer the sea temperatures had been very warm. However as High Pressure was over or near Ireland at this time the moisture being built up over the warm Oceans was kept well off our shores. When eventually the next Low was to come it would bring quite large rainfall amounts. So if all this rainfall then has fallen why are we still getting more.
2. The pressure
Unfortunately the High that was over us in the Summer has simply migrated slightly East to Europe meaning that Ireland is stuck with a conveyor belt of low pressure systems driving rain to our shores. But how come there's so many lows? I thought there was only one or two low pressure systems at a time.
3. The Dumbbell Effect
What the hell is the dumbell effect I hear you cry. Well it's the name given as the same low pressure system keeps reinvigorating itself as it has nowhere to go due to the high pressure to the East of the UK (where they are also seeing endless rain). So why is the rain so heavy and thundery? Doesn't this just happen in High Summer?
4. "High" temperatures
The High Pressure that lies over Europe is drawing up very warm air as we have seen over parts of Europe in the past week with temperatures of 30.3c in San Sebastian and 35c in Seville and 32c in France. To the West of the High the Low Pressure systems are pushing cooler air but as it meets the drier warmer air convection is occurring causing sparks and very heavy rain. So is there any reason why suddenly from being so quiet that the weather has taken such a nasty turn?
5. The Jet Stream
We often hear Met Eireann and the UK Met Office talk about how the jetstream affects our weather. Well here at weathergossip just think of it this way. If the jet is weak or to our North we tend to get benign weather but an active jet like we have now causes very unsettled weather when it is near or over Ireland. Think Summers 2007 to 2012. Yes yuk. OK so are we stuck with this unsettled weather?
6. Nothing lasts forever...even cold November rain
Well that's what Guns and Roses told us and maybe they had a point. Despite the fact that it seems like the weather is going to be endlessly unsettled due to these "dumbbell lows" it more than likely won't be. So what is going to end this period of unsettled wet weather? Read on
7. How this unsettled weather will likely end
The weather came from the South during most of October Repeated rainfall from the South can last weeks on end pressed up against such a strong high. But there has been a bit of a pattern shift. We have seen a more Southwesterly pattern emerge and this could mean things beginning to settle down around mid November especially in the South and East. There is still likely to be light rain or drizzle in the West and North but with lighter winds later in November temperatures should improve into the mid teens. So get over the next 10 days and things should begin to dry out then.
The weather for October 2022 in Ireland is going to continue on a cool and unsettled theme. The nights are also getting cooler and the ECM hints at some frosty nights after next weekend.
Similarly there are also hints of some stormy weather at times especially next Friday or Saturday.
Cooler conditions are then forecast to take hold around the second week of October and there could also could be some frost or ice on some of the nights. Though it will be cool for much of October it doesn't look like it will be cool enough for snow yet in 2022. Maybe around 10c to 14c and with those high energy bills that isn't really good news is it?
Weathergossip.ie weathergossip
Ireland looks set to see a lot of dry weather for the rest of March and into April. So far March has been colder and slightly wetter than normal. High pressure should build over the country over the coming days bringing light southeast winds and temperatures of up to 15c in the West. There will be some frost at night. The end of March will see a battle between dry weather to the East and wetter Atlantic weather to the West.
Kerry 140kph 131kph actual
Roches Pt 135kph 111kph
Cork 120kph 106kph
Johnstone 115kph
Shannon 118kph
Mace HD 127kph
Belmullet 117kph
Newport 112kph
Malin 110kph 118kph
Actual Gusts to follow
#barra #weathergossip #stormbarra #weathergossip.blogspot.com #meteireann #predictedgusts
Pinpointing the long range weather can be a difficult and somewhat tricky exercise especially as the past few months have been so mild. It would stand to reason then that Christmas 2021 would therefore turn out to be mild also here in Ireland.
However the weather always comes with a caveat and while so far the 2nd half of 2021 has been mild and benign the month of December this year from all the trends and long term forecasts looks like being one of transition.
As the month of November ends and Ireland gets battered by some windy episodes some milder weather will follow suit and we will be back in the benign pattern. However it is December now and nor October or November so the Northern push is a little stronger than before.
Most of the months this year have been milder than normal and some more than others but even though December is also trending milder there are strong signs of some colder episodes also so it does not look like it will be as excessively above normal as the first 20 days of November was.
So what does all this mean for Christmas? Well pinpointing the exact dates can be difficult but currently its looking like a strong low pressure sinks South around mid month. This will have the effect of dragging in colder Easterlies from Norway and strong frosts are possible during this time and wintry showers may bring some light sleet or snow.
However around December 20th some but milder weather is due to push back from the Atlantic and this will have the effect of bringing wet and windy weather all the way to Christmas.
Temperatures will be around 11c but in or around December 26th a cold front will move down from the Northwest bringing more wintry showers for a time before milder weather returns for the New Year.
So while overall the majority or December will be mild there will certainly be 2 cold spells that will likely be short lived but could bring some snow especially to the Northern half of Ireland.
The current exact date snow forecast for Ireland is
November 24th 2021
August will certainly be a month of 2 halves.
The first half will be very wet and thundery with showers or longer spells of rain.
An improving trend from halfway with more in the way of warm sunny spells but still the odd thundery shower.
Temperatures will vary from 16 to 22c the first half but 20 to 24c in part 2.
Rainfall and temperature average will be above normal.
Sunshine around average.
All the signals are pointing to warmer weather as we head into July but how long will it last. We may at last see temperatures of 20c plus after only 3 days over 20c in Sligo during June so far. This figure will definitely be improved on during July in Ireland. The problem is a low to the SOutheast of Ireland which may push up and scupper all the good weather.
The cold May weather should become a thing of the past in the coming days as we finally start to see some warmer than average conditions. How warm is a bit uncertain but surely 20c is on the cards for Ireland. The last day we had a temperature that high was April 1st!! Since we have had nearly 2 months of cold weather.
June will start off warm 18 to 22c but then get more thundery as we move into the month. As long as the thunder is from the South the weather will remain warm. After 2 months of cooling it needs to stay over us a long time for temperatures to respond. Its uncertain what happens after mid June at this stage.
Maybe we get dragged into a brief cooler regime before it heats up again at the end of the month.
May 2021 looks like it will be considerably colder than normal for Ireland. There could be even some snow on Thursday over high ground as temperatures will be in the single figures. There will also be frosts at night and lows below 0c.
It also appears as if May 2021 is going to be wetter than normal with more Low pressure systems returning to our shores from the Atlantic.These are going to bring unsettled conditions with rain or showers for Ireland on many of the days of May.
There really is no strong signal for any warm settled spell until possibly the end of the month and confidence on this is low.
Europe has also experienced a colder than average Spring with rain and snow and widespread frosts.
January 2021 has certainly started cold with wintry showers and some frost. This is how Januarys first 10 days will continue but after this it now looks mild and dry for Ireland.
As of December 3rd there has been reports of snowfall in some locations. Mostly at high levels but also a dusting at lower levels too in Donegal and Galway. So will the snow continue. Well the cold certainly will however it has all to do with the 528 dam line what the freezing level is for snow to fall and that appears to be hovering around the 300m mark over most of Ireland but further North could be down as low as 100m at times. Certainly no repeat of 2010 but the temperatures would appear to be stuck in single figures until mid December. After this we will be getting a lot of the weather like we have got the past few years. Relatively mild and dry with just some mist or drizzle and temperatures of 8 to 11c.
So basically first half of December in Ireland will be cold but not bitter and second half will be mild but not extremely.
The long term weather trend for Ireland sees a cold spell of Northerlies persist for the first half of December and there may also be some snow in the mix. The highest risk of snow will be at night or in some of the heavier outbreaks. But snow will not be only confined to mountain tops I feel. However most of the time showers will be of hail or sleet or rain. Christmas is looking very dry and mild.
The cold spell is signalled to begin on Wednesday with temperatures only in the 5c to 9c range. There will be many showers, some of them wintry and a low risk of snow at night. The weather will stay like this for the first 10 days of December. Also some frost can be expected and temperatures at times will drop below zero with frost at night. Becoming milder as we head to Christmas with temperatures of 7 to 10c expected
Cold spell now looks likely this coming week and it will stay cold from December 1st to possibly December 10th. After that it does look milder but during this period Ireland will have showers of rain hail sleet and snow and temperatures of 3c to 7c. Frost is also likely at night.
The month will still start on a cold note. How cold it goes is open to question. As we start off this week there is a low pressure to the Northwest of Ireland. During the week this is going to sink down over Ireland. How far South it goes will determine how cold it gets as we start December. At present temperatures of 4 to 7c look likely with wet sleety rain showers.
December still looking cold but models have backed away from the severe cold I mentioned yesterday. More like mid single figures now. But there are attempts at the North pushing down during the month. Most of all there is the Southwesterly milds we have become used to but any push south of these will result in some very cold weather in the darkest days of the year. Not much wind showing either so nights will not be 11c like recent years. Updates will continue as the situation continues to evolve.
So the start of December is still looking quite cold. Temperatures of 4 or 5c to be expected. If there is to be any snow in Ireland this side of Christmas this would appear to be the brief window of opportunity. Around December 4th looks particularly cold and could be in the low single figures.
Overall though the weather for December and Christmas looks quite and benign with no storms showing up at present. If you look out the window today, November 26th, that is probably what the weather will be like a lot of December with not too much in the way of heavy rain.
Temperatures around 10c for Christmas day and fair day weatherwise. All the Christmas period looks quiet with maybe colder weather as we break into the new year.
Much colder in fact than recent years. 2019 had a pretty cold November but it looks like 2020 is going to see that cold weather arrive a month later. This may raise hopes of a White Christmas but currently mid to late December is looking pretty dry and benign in Ireland.
The early part of December seems to be signalling a slight chance of snow in Ireland. This will have to be kept a close eye on as it is not set in stone.
Temperatures will be in the low single figures so it could well be a sleety mix. Most of December looks like it will be below 10c with little in the way of milder spells. It will also be drier than normal which will help with Christmas shopping.
The month starts off on a windy note for Ireland with storm Lorenzo tracking close to the country. This will herald a period of wet and windy weather to start the month of October.
After a very wet first 10 days with gales and flooding somewhat drier with just showers. Temperatures around tye first half of October will be at or near the seasonal average of 13 to 16c.
However into week 3 it gets milder for a time with strong Southerly winds and temperatures of up to 17 to 21c.
The end of the month brings cooler weather with the risk of frost in rural areas as the temperatures dip into the low single figures.
Rainfall for the month 140 per cent
Sunshine 90 per cent
Wind gusts 65 knots
The countdown to Christmas is here and currently it looks like it will be 7c in Sligo on Christmas Day and showery with a few hail showers. No sign of snow just yet updates to continue...
Other Cities
Belfast 6c Showers
Dublin 7c Dry
Cork 9c Showers
Galway 8c Showers
The Winter of 2018/19 is looking like one of the colder ones we have seen. More especially the first half and especially December.
This will be due to widespread Northerly blocking where High Pressure pushes North towards Iceland and we are left in a cold flow of Easterlies.
This will likely happen during the period from October to December.
There is a possibility that there may be snow in Ireland even as early as October but widespread low level snow is not likely until December.
Sub zero temperatures will be frequent and expect lows of minus 3 in October minus 7 in November and minus 10 in December.
A low level El Nino event is beginning to take shape and I expect this to signal a milder 2nd part of Winter with heavy rains and gales.
After the spectacular weather of June and July this Summer in Ireland the weather has turned more traditonal for the month of August 2018. Some warm days have been enjoyed with a temperature of 26.2c recorded in Oak Park earlier in the month. In most Augusts this would be quite a notable figure but in Summer 2018 26c went down as meh.
Although we have not yet seen the heavy rains of previous Summers the month of August seems to be bringing Ireland back to a dose of normal late Summer early Autumn weather.
With no one weather pattern favored for the rest of the month expect temperatures anywhere from 14 to 25c and rain at some time most days but rarely all day.
Spells of sunshine will be pretty frequent too with a mobile Atlantic pattern.
UPDATE WARNING
Heavy snow will plaster Ireland from next week with the worst of the snow happening from Wednesday to Friday.
Ireland is set for a deep freeze starting on Sunday night into Monday. As air travelling all the way from Siberia lodges itself over Ireland we will struggle to get above 0c at all and the nights will be even colder.
Heres a guide of what to expect in the major towns and cities in Ireland next week
Sligo - heavy frosts and nighttime temperatures of -6c. Highs 3c. Some wintry showers from next Tuesday. Heavier snow possible on March 1st. Further cold weather thereafter
Dublin - Heavy snow settling from next Tuesday. Frost at night. -2c and 2c by day.
Cork - Frost and some snow. Lows -3c Highs 2c
Galway - Cold and frosty. Light snow at times. Highs 4c Low -4c
Mullingar - Snow settling from Tuesday. Lows of -8c possible. Could get to -10c over snowfields.
Northern Ireland similar to Dublins forecast. Midlands will follow Mullingars outlook. As will other regions follow the weather in the towns and cities closest to them.
So until tomorrow with the next update enjoy the frosty night and see you all tomorrow
