Mild October continues

October 2013 will be one of Ireland's milder ones of recent times. Despite a cool few days recently the weather is set to get mild again for 4 to 5 days with temperatures 2 degrees above normal.After that expect a lot of average temperatures but over the mercury will be 1 to 2c over the norm.

Otherwise the weather looks set to be wet and showers each day and gets breezier too so dry weather ends for a while on October 15

Balmy Autumn

So far this season there has been quite a variation in the weather in Ireland from some very cool conditions the second week of September to 23 and 24c on the weekend of the Football All Ireland. The weather is set to remain mild for some time yet but not up to those values. The best will be 20 or 21c but with night of 10 or 11c we are seeing temperatures of 3 to 4c above normal in some parts of Ireland at present.

The year has seen a lot of variations in the weather too with the really cold Spring and the hot July now followed by quite a mild end to September and sea temperatures around the coast of Ireland up to 20c last week. These are some of the highest sea temperatures that have ever been recorded off the Irish Coast.

Look out for some more mild weather in October before the heavy rain arives from the South around the 4th of the month resulting in a change of wind direction eventually and things moving to a more changeable and mobile Westerly.

July 2013 hottest in 100 years

The warmest July in over 100 years has just been experienced in Ireland with stations in Dublin and the West recording the hottest values. The hottest temperature courtesy of Met Eireann is 30.3c in Co. Kerry. Ken Ring who is a forecaster from New Zealand who famously predicted this warm July (as well as most Long Range Forecasters) is still upbeat about August especially the second half of the month.

However at weathergossip we do not see the same heat occurring in August that was there during July and we may have to wait another year to experience anything like that or longer. The second half of August does look like it will have a few sunny days especially in the East while the West is always more showery. However this is the way it has always been apart from that rare spell in July and a few warm Easterlies in April and May that we have seen in Sligo in recent years.

Mixed August 2013 on the cards

August over the past few years has seen conditions cool down a little in the Northwest of Ireland first and in the South of the country usually into the last week. For the past 6 years the last 10 days of August usually signal a more Autumnal feel to the air with cooler nights and this looks to be the case again this year. However dry days of 18 to 20c should indeed make it feel pleasant for the second half of the month as Ken predicted.

We do not hold any more rights to Mr Rings forecasts so with respect to him try his own site to see what else he says. weathergossip usually crawls as many of the Long Range weather model to try and gain an educated guess for the year. So far this Summer we have predicted warm spells and we did predict a hot July but more of a warm one than a hot one with us just predicting a warm temperature of 26c when it got to 30.3c in actual terms. This happens a lot because if we were to predict extreme values like that we would look very foolish if the temperature got to only 22c for example. However weathergossip is confident that 24c at least will be reached in August 2013 and most of this thundery rain will be gone by August 10th.

Hot week

A hot week begins,

Cork got 25.3c on Sunday after 24.9c on Saturday in casement

Keep up to date with the heatwave here as fine July conditions are set for the next 10th days

Hot July heatwave

As the heatwave in Ireland for July continues to develop stats will appear here, it will be the hottest July since 1995

Rest of Summer quite good

The rest of Summer 2013 looks quite good for the most part with Leinster and Munster seeing the most sunshine and highest temperatures while all the time Connaught and Ulster see clouds and temperatures below 20c most of the time.

However these areas too look set to benefit from more sunshine when High Pressure plants itself very close to Ireland as it will after the first week of July possibly as early as next Friday.

Thereafter this pattern of weather continues for most of the rest of the Summer with conditions in Munster in particular being very dry.

Rainfall for rest of Summer 2013

Connaught 90%
Ulster 85%
Leinster 55%
Munster 45%

Cooler weather for now

Junes warm spell has ended and June 8th saw a temperature of 25.3c being recorded in Newport CO Mayo. On this day also 25c was recorded in a lot of Co Mayo and 24c was recorded in other Atlantic coasts as for once the East saw the brunt of the cooler temperatures with Dublin Airport only managing 18.9c on the same day.

Now however we are all cool once again and it looks a hard spell to break. However the High Pressure over the Azores will try to bring some warmer air to Ireland at times and it would be expected that the rest of June would turn out something like this. This is a bit inaccurate but I would expect a few warmer spells and then some lows to the North will be breaking the High Pressure ridges so dates cannot be confirmed.

Weather Forecast for Ireland for the rest of June 2013

June 16th Cool but Drier in the the North with temperatures of 13 to 18c. Rain at times Munster
June 17th Dry and Bright in most parts of Ireland temperatures of 15 to 18c
June 18th Dry at first but rain in the West and North later temperatures 14 to 19c
June 19th A spell of rain in all parts clearing to sunshine and showers 14 to 17c
June 20th A dry day but rain from the Northwest spoiling things there 13 to 16c
June 21st Cool in the North and West Drier and Brighter in Munster and Leinster 18c
June 22nd A Cool Day with scattered showers but sunny spells also 14 to 18c
June 23rd Cool and Showery in all parts with temperatures of 17c
June 24th A renewed area of High Pressure from the Azores temperatures of 18c
June 25th Dry with sunny spells a few showers in the North 19c
June 26th Rain in the North but sunny in the South 20c
June 27th Cloudy in most parts some sunny spells 20c
June 28th Rain moving into the West with sunshine fading in the East 19c
June 29th Outbreaks of rain and Showers and cooler 17c
June 30th Thundery showers in all parts sunny spells too 19c

June starts warm but will it last

Well June has started like a scorcher this year in Ireland but is it going to last.

Shannon Airport and Newport in Co. Mayo are enjoying the best of the fine spell as the winds come in from a more Easterly source.
This is bringing sea breezes to Dublin but city temperatures are still hovering around the 20c mark down to a cooler 18c at the airport.

24.6c was recorded in Shannon on June 7th and this may prove to be the warmest day of the current spell. June 8th looks particularly warm again but clouds are gathering around the favored West and South coasts so this could result in a boring old 21 or 22c but we cant complain at those temperatures either after the past 6 years we have had (plus 10 months of cold weather nearly).

Of course Europe is not faring nearly as well and Ireland was again hotter than destinations in Germany and Croatia and some parts of Spain and Portugal too.

Longer range weather points to a more unsettled picture but with regular warm intervals. Sothere could be a lot of  thundery showers mixed into temperatures and warm sunshine of 20c. Some days will be drier and because of the thundery nature of the showers it will be noticed that on a day one area sees a deluge that another area nearby may just have a sunny fine day.

So alls not bad for now as see start off June on an altogether impressive note, not withstanding the 4.2c minimum reached at Dublin Airport around the 4th of June. Now to try and find some impressive weather photo.

Warmer weather for June

June promises a lot of warmer weather for Ireland

Temps 21 or 22c at times

Winds west to south

Cool and Unsettled for May

The weather is set to stay cool breezy and wet for the next 2 weeks in Ireland with above normal rainfall and temperatures in the range 12 to 16c.

Later on in the month there is a prospect of warmer more settled conditions with temperatures of 20c.

Winds to start the month will be Northwest veering Southwest later

Snow risk for Leinster Ulster

During the coming week snow continues to be a risk for the east and North of Ireland in what is turning out to be the coldest March in 60 years for Ireland.

Weathergossip had predicted a temperature average of 6.5c but look out for a final value of 5c

Temperatures hit minus 7 in Sligo

A bone chilling night all over Ireland and especially in Sligo and mullingar with minus 7 recorded.

While tonight will be frosty again expect that to be the end of the more severe frost although there will be still frosty nights

Cold and dry

A cold and dry outlook for the rest of February.
Rainfall for Ireland for February will be around 60 per cent of normal.
Sunshine will end at 120 per cent.
The lowest temperature of the month will be minus 6c
The highest temperature will be 13.2c in casement.

Mild at first but a risk of colder weather

The next 2 weeks are going to be mainly mild with rain or showers on most days. Temperatures will be around average at 7 to 10c and sunshine levels will be a little below normal. It is around the last week of February that things could get a little interesting.

Low pressure will be to the South and the High that never really reached us for the whole of the Winter may finally make its presence felt. It may only be for a week but the temperatures for the last week of February for Ireland could be as low as 3 to 5c and snow could fall on some occasions if precipitation lies near which it usually does in these parts.

Also the beginning of March is looking very cold for a couple of days but we'll leave that for now.

More @ weathergossip

Snow Monday night/Tuesday for Ireland

There is a high probability of some snow showers falling on Monday night February 4th and on Tuesday again. Then in the following days the wintry showers will continue but as hail and sleet before it gets milder at the end of the week. There is a possibility of another really cold snap as we enter the middle of February. 

Keep up to date on weathergossip

Snow still a risk

Cold weather continues for Ireland and the long term forecasting models are predicting a lot of cold though also a lot of uncertainty. There is a large pool of cold air to the North and East of Ireland and Britain and this is trying to make its presence felt over ourselves but we are being protected by the mild Atlantic. The average snow level is between 300m and 500m so low lying areas of Ireland are not seeing any snowfall. However this cold pool of air is gathering strength and already has found its way to Scotland and Eastern England though snowfall here has been moderate.

Over the next week or so a transitional period takes place with the cold air becoming firmly established over most of Britain but the situation for ourselves will continue pretty much as it is, however wintry precipitation and a storm with some sleet and possibly snow cannot be ruled out on Sunday. The chances of this are about 30% as it seems to be heading more towards France than us. What is likely though is that it will bring some very cold air behind it resulting in some heavy wintry showers and maybe a blanket of snow during night hours.

The best thing to do if you want to make sure of the forecast for the next few weeks is to keep your eyes peeled to the forecast as it is constantly changing since the battleground seems to be where Ireland is located and all forecasting services are struggling with this one coming out with different scenarios. One thing is for certain the mild weather that we saw early in January will not be repeated until some time in February and probably late in that month.

HyperSmash

Snow Risk increases

The risk of snow has increased over the past few model runs and Ireland would get a similar event to 2010 if the charts were to pan out. However this is all very uncertain and weathergossip thinks that the most likely scenario is for a brief cold snap with some snow and a lot of frosty nights. The long term forecast sees another push of cold air from the East into Ireland and this one may have more success. This is forecast to happen in the last week of January and the start of February so this could be a very cold period indeed.