Ireland is about to suffer an intense spell of bitterly cold weather unlike anything we have seen in February and March since 1963.
Daytime temperatures will struggle to reach 0c from next week with widespread snow for many days.
This is all due to the Sudden Stratospheric Warming event that is now happening. Most guidance has temperatures 6c below the February average of 5 to 8c
Snow will be mainly on the East and North but could fall absolutely anywhere.
Cold weather for many as we experience the coldest February since 1991. The temperature will rise up to 10c at most but most days will be 3 to 6c with temperatures near zero at nighttime.
Week one - mild and unsettled
Week two - very cold some snow
Week three - less cold and drier
Week four - more very cold weather
Another cold month overall with temperatures rarely in double figures.
However the temperatures and airflow will not be condusive to widespread snowfall
Jan 1st - 3rd Windy and Stormy 8 to 10c
Jan 4th - 8th Cold and Frosty max 5c min -6c
Jan 9th - 11th Milder briefly 12c
Jan 12th - 19th A succession of cold NW winds and temperatures of 4 to 7c. Mins 2 to -2c
Jan 20th - 31st A drier pattern will develop with temperatures 7 to 10c by day and 0c at night
So we are already in December and hows it looking.
Well in summary
Dec 1st - 7th Mild but not much rain 8 to 13c
Dec 8th - 11th Cold and Wintry snow on hills 4 to 6c
Dec 12th - 18th Slightly milder but wet a few cold periods but Atlantic Westerly flow 7 to 9c
Dec 19th - 24th Very unsettled possibly stormy temps on borderline for snow 4 to 8c
Dec 25th Mild outlook at todays CFS chart. Around 8 to 11c. This constantly changes.
Dec 26th - 31st Showers of rain hail and sleet cold. 4 to 8c
Not too frosty this month bar a few -2c nights. Maybe one or two nights go to -5c around the 8th to 12th and again at Christmas.
Happy Christmas.
Mountmellick in Laois suffered flooding
Its speading to Portarlington as well.
Sligo had temperature of 6c and some hail
On day 3 the snow was visible on Ben Bulben and hail fell widespread during a day that only peaked at 4c
Snow fell in Mayo mainly
Temperatures in Sligo maxed out at only 6c and its currently 2.5c
50mm of rain fell in parts of Munster and Leinster with roads closed due to flooding.
A wide variety of temperatures were recorded with 5c in parts of Ulster but 14c in parts of Wexford and Waterford
Starting today Wednesday 22nd all the latest on this cold spell. Today ends with a 6c max in parts of the Northwest as a Polar Airmass sweeps down from Iceland bringing hail and sleet to the North and West
The following 2 weeks will see half and half type weather. Half the time in Ireland it will be mild with temperatures of 10 to 13c while half the time it will be cold with temperatures at 6 to 10c. As is usually the case in this set up there will be more sun on the colder days and more rain on the milder ones.
Frosty nights are sure to feature too with minima down as low as -3c though there is a risk that towards the end of the month values could dip below minus 5.
80mph winds are set to devastate Co Cork and Kerry on Monday with structural damage elsewhere in Munster
There is a huuricane developing in the mid Atlantic that is headed towards Europe on Monday. Whether it retains its hurricane characteristics is open to question but certainly an interesting and potentially damaging development for Ireland.
Keep posted on the storm here...
August will see more changeable weather than July but with a few warm spells and fine days too. However nights will be getting noticeably cooler than before.
Highest temperature of the month prob 25c
Lowest probably 2c
Rainfall slightly above normal
Sunshine Normal
Average Day 18c
Average Night 8c
Well Summer 2017 has started off quite poorly apart from one good week in June when temperatures reached 28.6c in Pheonix Park.
July does not look like bringing much Summer sun but it will bring warmth with temperatures regularly in the 20s.
Rainfall will be around normal with a lot of drizzle or mist at times.
However dry spells will be common too and at the end of July there is a signal for much warmer temperatures after a cool unsettled period mid month.
Welcome to Irelands long range weather for Spring 2017. Here I will outline the expected conditions for Ireland this year. weathergossip has more information on the long range conditions. Also after June weathergossip moves here to the blog full time.
So onto the forecast.
MARCH
A cool start to the month with some Wintry showers and temperatures only in the range of 4 to 8c. A bracing Northwesterly wind will make it feel even colder than this. However as the month goes on conditions will get slightly milder with temperatures of 7 to 10c in light winds but there will be some rain or drizzle at time. The second half of March sees more in the way of dry weather with some frost at night. Temperatures will be 10c to 14c. Late month may see a return of unsettled conditions again.
APRIL
April sees more in the way of rain or showers with the weather pattern very mobile. This looks set to continue for the whole of the first half at least with even some cool weather at time adding a wintry mix in some of the showers in the Northwest. Temperatures will be 8 to 14c but later in the month there may be a 16 or 17c as winds begin to steer up from the South.
After the widespread Northern blocking that has occurred recently resulting in one of the driest Winters since 1995 we sure are due a bit of rain. Well never fear. For no sooner will you have said the word drought than the rivers and lakes will be bursting their banks once more.
Many Springs have come and gone in Ireland with people saying what a great start to Spring it has been no sooner to see it all dampened by a cold and with Summer. Its still too far to look at the Summer 2017 forecastwhich early on looks quiet in the prospects with a similar pattern to whats been going on in the Winter, a lot of High Pressure about.
On the other hand, February. This month looks far more active than any of October, November, December or January but of course that wouldnt be hard as all these months had below the normal rainfall figures. The next 20 days see a much more mobile Atlantic flow moving in. Lets play it by ear and weathergossip will keep you up to date and of course this blog is regularly updated with the long term weather forecast for Ireland, where unlike other sites there is a detailed description, discussion and of course "gossip" about the upcoming weather.
So January is keeping frosty tonight but the rest of it is mild. Temperatures of 12 or 13c will occur and with 7 at night these are April averages.
But February is looking more mobile with rain strong winds and cold so look out.
Snow has hit most Ireland on January 12th 2017 with the West North and midlands seeing most of the snow.
The temperature only reached 4c and the wind was very strong also up to gale force 8. Met Eireann is predicting a milder weekend and slightly cooler next week. But what is going to happen after that?
Thats where weathergossip comes in. The long range weather sees a lot more Northern blocking so we will see a lot more dry weather but there is a huge risk that siberian air may start to incur in the East late next week. In any case it looks like High Pressure is set to dominate once again.
Actually rainfall this Winter has been only 60 to 80% of normal so far compared to over 200% of normal last Winter. As far as the rest of Winter is concerned a milder theme is favored and this could result in it again being among the mildest Winters of the past century.
Christmas Day weather for Ireland will stay mild with temperatures of 12 to 14c to start but by midnight only 3 to 5c in a cool westerly flow.
Meanwhile the North Pole is at melting point for Christmas day with the temperature there a shockingly high 0c.
Santa looks like he may have to move to Greenlands North coast as its -18c there and -30c in Alaska.
Happy Christmas www.weathergossip.com
The weather for Christmas looks mild wet and windy with temperatures of 8 to 10c for Ireland and very little chance of snow. The late November cold we saw has been replaced by much milder weather although a slight cooldown is signalled in late December.
www.weathergossip.com
November is shaping up to be the coldest month of the Winter of 2016/17. There is a possibility of snow on high ground at different stages during the month starting on Sunday 5th. Some snow will fall on lower levels too possibly at the end of November. Frost will be frequent in the month with minus 5 likely.
More on www.weathergossip.com
There will be over 50mm of rain over the coming weekend especially in more Southerly and Eastern parts of Ireland.
Parts of the Northwest of Ireland have seen less than 5 percent of their normal rainfall for October.
However from the 20th to 24th October a dry period of weather is on the cards for Ireland before things turn unsettled for the end of the month.
Early indications suggest a cold November and December but not extremely cold before milder interludes are signalled for 2017
Though windstorms are not favored rainfall will be high sometimes due to blocking.
For all the latest updates check out
www.weathergossip.com
An awful lot of rain in the South and West of Ireland over the weekend bringing close to 40mm followed by blustery showers. Autumn has truly set in. Temperatures of 13 or 14c are below what youd expect at this time of year. However expect an unsettled mix of windy blustery mostly mild weather for the next 10 days with little if an frost.
For more go to www.weathergossip.com
The weather for Autumn has turned cooler as signs are that Ireland is going to have more frequent cool spells than in the past couple of years.
It will still be very mild at other times with Southwesterlies and wind and rain. Temperatures over the next 2 weeks of 14c to 18 or 19c at best.
See www.weathergossip.com for more
