Unsettled Times Ahead

Rather Mild weather has been dominating November so far with the temperature reaching the dizzy heights of 17.3c in Valentia Observatory and also getting above 16c in Belmullet on Sunday 13th November 2011. Just what is causing this unseasonably mild weather. Hell it is looking as if it is going to be the mildest November on record in a good number of locations around Ireland and this is even if we do get the expected cooler weather toward the end of the month.


1994 was indeed a very mild November in Ireland also with the mean temperature in the North of Ireland of near 9c while it got over 10c in parts of the South. But while a lot of that year saw mild wet and windy weather November 2011 has been quite different with a predominately Southeasterly flow steering up warm winds from the continent.


Now the weather is going to stay mild for the next 10 days but there will be some subtle changes. The first one is that it will be a lot wetter. Some stations like Claremorris and Finner Camp have only seen 10 to 20% of their normal rainfall for the month of November so far. This figure will bulk up so that by the end of the month it will be near normal again. As well as being wetter the weather is going to slowly get a little cooler from the North with temperatures dipping into high single figures by day around the end of the month.


How this is going to impact the Christmas weather is hard to say but what is certain is that by the time December comes we will be due a spell of cold weather so I wouldnt rule out some spells of frost at least if the Atlantic loosens its grip.

October Ends Windy and November??

Previously on weathergossip blog... "a lot of strong winds in October". It did not really materialize did it. But as is oft the case with the weather in October it ends with a storm in a sandwich just like it is today, October 28th.

Back to the weather the gales and wind that are around at present look like they will continue until the end of the month and some steady rainfall totals look like falling especially in Munster and Leinster. Upward of 50mm could fall between Friday and Sunday in some parts of the East and Southeast. The Western half of the country and Sligo look like escaping for a change.

Whatever will November bring after all of this wind and rain. Well at the moment a lot more of the same looks to be the answer. Is it too early to say if the weather is going to be stuck in a mild windy and wet pattern for the Winter? Maybe this is going to be the case but the is Low confidence that a blocker of a High will try to push in around November 10th and should this intensify we could get frosty nights similar to last Winter for a while.

Credit must be given to some weather websites that I refer to and use namely http://www.met.ie/ and http://www.wetterzentrale.de/ These 2 sites provide us with a lot of the data we have on weathergossip.