Balmy Autumn

So far this season there has been quite a variation in the weather in Ireland from some very cool conditions the second week of September to 23 and 24c on the weekend of the Football All Ireland. The weather is set to remain mild for some time yet but not up to those values. The best will be 20 or 21c but with night of 10 or 11c we are seeing temperatures of 3 to 4c above normal in some parts of Ireland at present.

The year has seen a lot of variations in the weather too with the really cold Spring and the hot July now followed by quite a mild end to September and sea temperatures around the coast of Ireland up to 20c last week. These are some of the highest sea temperatures that have ever been recorded off the Irish Coast.

Look out for some more mild weather in October before the heavy rain arives from the South around the 4th of the month resulting in a change of wind direction eventually and things moving to a more changeable and mobile Westerly.

July 2013 hottest in 100 years

The warmest July in over 100 years has just been experienced in Ireland with stations in Dublin and the West recording the hottest values. The hottest temperature courtesy of Met Eireann is 30.3c in Co. Kerry. Ken Ring who is a forecaster from New Zealand who famously predicted this warm July (as well as most Long Range Forecasters) is still upbeat about August especially the second half of the month.

However at weathergossip we do not see the same heat occurring in August that was there during July and we may have to wait another year to experience anything like that or longer. The second half of August does look like it will have a few sunny days especially in the East while the West is always more showery. However this is the way it has always been apart from that rare spell in July and a few warm Easterlies in April and May that we have seen in Sligo in recent years.

Mixed August 2013 on the cards

August over the past few years has seen conditions cool down a little in the Northwest of Ireland first and in the South of the country usually into the last week. For the past 6 years the last 10 days of August usually signal a more Autumnal feel to the air with cooler nights and this looks to be the case again this year. However dry days of 18 to 20c should indeed make it feel pleasant for the second half of the month as Ken predicted.

We do not hold any more rights to Mr Rings forecasts so with respect to him try his own site to see what else he says. weathergossip usually crawls as many of the Long Range weather model to try and gain an educated guess for the year. So far this Summer we have predicted warm spells and we did predict a hot July but more of a warm one than a hot one with us just predicting a warm temperature of 26c when it got to 30.3c in actual terms. This happens a lot because if we were to predict extreme values like that we would look very foolish if the temperature got to only 22c for example. However weathergossip is confident that 24c at least will be reached in August 2013 and most of this thundery rain will be gone by August 10th.

Hot week

A hot week begins,

Cork got 25.3c on Sunday after 24.9c on Saturday in casement

Keep up to date with the heatwave here as fine July conditions are set for the next 10th days

Hot July heatwave

As the heatwave in Ireland for July continues to develop stats will appear here, it will be the hottest July since 1995

Rest of Summer quite good

The rest of Summer 2013 looks quite good for the most part with Leinster and Munster seeing the most sunshine and highest temperatures while all the time Connaught and Ulster see clouds and temperatures below 20c most of the time.

However these areas too look set to benefit from more sunshine when High Pressure plants itself very close to Ireland as it will after the first week of July possibly as early as next Friday.

Thereafter this pattern of weather continues for most of the rest of the Summer with conditions in Munster in particular being very dry.

Rainfall for rest of Summer 2013

Connaught 90%
Ulster 85%
Leinster 55%
Munster 45%

Cooler weather for now

Junes warm spell has ended and June 8th saw a temperature of 25.3c being recorded in Newport CO Mayo. On this day also 25c was recorded in a lot of Co Mayo and 24c was recorded in other Atlantic coasts as for once the East saw the brunt of the cooler temperatures with Dublin Airport only managing 18.9c on the same day.

Now however we are all cool once again and it looks a hard spell to break. However the High Pressure over the Azores will try to bring some warmer air to Ireland at times and it would be expected that the rest of June would turn out something like this. This is a bit inaccurate but I would expect a few warmer spells and then some lows to the North will be breaking the High Pressure ridges so dates cannot be confirmed.

Weather Forecast for Ireland for the rest of June 2013

June 16th Cool but Drier in the the North with temperatures of 13 to 18c. Rain at times Munster
June 17th Dry and Bright in most parts of Ireland temperatures of 15 to 18c
June 18th Dry at first but rain in the West and North later temperatures 14 to 19c
June 19th A spell of rain in all parts clearing to sunshine and showers 14 to 17c
June 20th A dry day but rain from the Northwest spoiling things there 13 to 16c
June 21st Cool in the North and West Drier and Brighter in Munster and Leinster 18c
June 22nd A Cool Day with scattered showers but sunny spells also 14 to 18c
June 23rd Cool and Showery in all parts with temperatures of 17c
June 24th A renewed area of High Pressure from the Azores temperatures of 18c
June 25th Dry with sunny spells a few showers in the North 19c
June 26th Rain in the North but sunny in the South 20c
June 27th Cloudy in most parts some sunny spells 20c
June 28th Rain moving into the West with sunshine fading in the East 19c
June 29th Outbreaks of rain and Showers and cooler 17c
June 30th Thundery showers in all parts sunny spells too 19c