Sunday, March 14, 2010

Becoming Unsettled

The Long Range models are showing a much more unsettled outlook now for the rest of March and April with the Atlantic fronts meaning a reurn to daily rain or showers. Temperatures will climb somewhat from recent values and will be in Double Figures much of the time. Rainfall will be slightly above average and the overall temperatures will be around the seasonal average.

Sunday, March 7, 2010

Irelands Long Range Weather Forecast

Stick that on your power cord!

The weather for the remainder of March in Sligo looks very dry and settled. So far 2010 has been quite a dry year compared to last year and it looks set to continue for the first month of the Springtime. Temperatures are remaining quite low though and this is having a major impact on both Grass and Flower growth.

Rainfall for the year in Ireland would usually be around 250mm to 300mm by the beginning of March in the Northwest of ireland and the Daffodils would be blooming. However this year has been very different. Daffodils are only at the start of their growth as of 7th March and look set to actaully bloom at what was once their normal date of 17th of March here in Ireland or St Patricks Day.

This years rainfall total is only just over 100mm and the total rainfall figure for the Winter Metreological months of December, January and February in Sligo was only 182mm after a November with rainfall of 354mm. This was caused by the Big Freeze in January 2010 and the blocking Anticyclone that came with it.

High pressure was over Iceland and Scandanavia for most of the Winter keeping Irelands Atlantic rainbelts well to the West and North in the Atlantic. At times these rainbelts went to the South of Ireland and over France and Spain causing storms and floods there that we would otherwise have had.

How long is this dry spell going to last it is quite hard to tell at the moment but there is an interuption on 11th March 2010 and whether this will signal a return to the Atlantic Pattern of weather in Ireland after the 3 Months of very dry weather it will be intersting to see but the overall long range weather forecasting picture for the month would seem to suggest that dry weather will be more in evidence in March than wet and that any rainfall periods will be short lived.

Sunday, November 1, 2009

Long Range Weather Update....

At this stage there has been a big shift in Long Range prediction and it now looks like November will be a very wet and cold showery month in Ireland. After a very cold first week though temperatures should rise slightly for most of the rest of November but there will still be wet and windy spells.

LIKELY FORECAST

NOVEMBER
Wet and Cold for first week. Milder for the rest of month with some dry spells

DECEMBER
Wet at first then a long dry spell but wet again for Xmas

Thursday, October 22, 2009

November Starts Quietly

A quiet start to November is now on the cards with the High Pressure over Scandanavia intensifying. This is going to push the weather fronts westwards meaning only Western fringes of Ireland will see any rain and the Mild and Dry Autumn will continue. Met Offices define Autumn as September, October and November and so far this Autumn rainfall has been below 40% of normal in some parts and well below normal in all parts of Ireland. Indeed in the British Isles the only region that has seen rainfall up to normal is Scotland.

FORECAST FOR END OF OCTOBER - Wet at first, Dry for Halloween

NOVEMBER - Dry at first with frosty nights. Becoming more unsettled after 10th

DECEMBER - Cool and Unsettled at first becoming drier and quieter pre Xmas.

XMAS - Mild and Wet unfortunately.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

East West Battle

A Classic East West battle of weather conditions will end the month of October with Rain to the West and Dry weather developing to the East on the Continent as High Pressure becomes firmly established. If the High wins out there is the potential there for a cold start to the Winter but if the Low which is going to be over Ireland for at least part of next week wins out then we are in for some milder conditions. Its a moment that could define Winter!

Sunday, October 11, 2009

Quiet October.

So far October has been an extremely quiet month weatherwise in Sligo. This is set to continue for the coming week with the unsettled weather not arriving until the last third of the month. Thereafter a lot of rain and wind is forecast for much of the end of October and November. Very long term weather forecasts for Ireland are predicting a not so white Christmas this year as in not at all but there will be a lot of dry weather around the pre Christmas period. So in brief this is what the current forecast up until the end of the year is

OCTOBER 9TH - 20TH................MOSTLY DRY AND SETTLED

OCTOBER 21ST - 31ST.................RAIN SOME DRY SPELLS

NOVEMBER.....................VERY WET OVERALL, COLD 20-23RD

DECEMBER.....................RAINFALL AVERAGE DRY AROUND XMAS

Updates to these forecasts at http://www.weathergossip.com/
www.weathergossip.com/autumn.html
www.weathergossip.com/winter.html