Snow on way?

The weather models are showing there is a probable drop in temperatures for the end of November and into the beginning of December. This will result in some very low temperatures. As we know in Ireland because of our Atlantic maritime position this does not always mean there will be snow but the winds will be from a Northern source so snow chances increase.

If these winds were to switch to a colder Northeaster from the Continent the chance of snow increases further and there appears to be one or two days at the end of November that this is going to indeed happen. After that of course the forecast looks a bit blurry but December looks likely to start very frosty over Ireland with any snowfall limited to Scotland and the Eastern coastline of England at this stage.

Windy perhaps Stormy

A lot of windy weather this week with the possibility of stormy conditions at times in the North and Northwest most especially on Tuesday afternoon and Thursday. There will also be a lot of heavy thundery rain with totals in some spots for the week of 60mm. The next time there is any chance of snow is at the end of November.

Milder Weather for rest of November

The rest of November will be quite mild as the Atlantic takes hold. After a very cold October it will be a welcome change to many people and there is going to be a good deal of dry weather at times too with temperatures expected to be 10 to 12c a lot of the time.

Frost and Snow that has been seen in small quantities to start the month will no longer be the case apart from a risk of some icy weather around the 10th and 14th November. For more on this see Snow Forecast

Chilly Start to November

November is going to start off very cold this year with wintry showers of hail or sleet at times and temperatures of only 5 to 8c during the day at times. They will rise up to 10 or 11c on some days but this will be the exception rather than the rule.

As the month moves on the cold only stays close to the East of Ireland and the milder air in the Atlantic begins to win out so snowfall is unlikely until later in the month or maybe early December. Certainly the period before Christmas will be dominated by temperatures being below normal as a blocking pattern becomes established in the Atlantic meaning the milder air is kept off our shores except for a few days.

It is expected that November will follow along the lines of something like this

Rainfall 115%
Sunshine 100%
Lowest Temperature -5c
Highest Temperature 13c
Snow Days 1-2
Frost Days 4-6
Average Temperature 6.5c

Cold October to Continue

October 2012 has turned out to be a very cold month indeed with a mean temperature of only 8 to 10c in Ireland so far and temperatures down as low as minus 1 celcius. This pattern looks set to continue.

October 2012 sunnier than normal

Low pressure systems are streaming down from our Northwest much like they have been in a number of our Summers but because it is October it is even colder. If this were to happen in December or January say, there is a high chance of widespread snowfall. However as it is early Fall it only brings frost and fog to most areas as the the moisture escapes from the land creating very picturesque scenes.

So what is the long range weather then. Well weathergossip is still looking at a cold October followed by a mild November and December. It is probable that October in Sligo will turn out something like this in 2012.

Average Temperature 9.5c
Rainfall 110mm
Wind High Gust 55knt
Sunshine 120%
Frost Days 2 - 4
Fog 2 - 4
High Temperature 17c
Low Temperature -2c

Wet October start

October has started off very wet indeed with heavy showers. Now it looks like there may be some dry weather on the way this weekend but it will only be shortlived as another large Low Pressure system approaches from the Southwest.