Snow still a risk

Cold weather continues for Ireland and the long term forecasting models are predicting a lot of cold though also a lot of uncertainty. There is a large pool of cold air to the North and East of Ireland and Britain and this is trying to make its presence felt over ourselves but we are being protected by the mild Atlantic. The average snow level is between 300m and 500m so low lying areas of Ireland are not seeing any snowfall. However this cold pool of air is gathering strength and already has found its way to Scotland and Eastern England though snowfall here has been moderate.

Over the next week or so a transitional period takes place with the cold air becoming firmly established over most of Britain but the situation for ourselves will continue pretty much as it is, however wintry precipitation and a storm with some sleet and possibly snow cannot be ruled out on Sunday. The chances of this are about 30% as it seems to be heading more towards France than us. What is likely though is that it will bring some very cold air behind it resulting in some heavy wintry showers and maybe a blanket of snow during night hours.

The best thing to do if you want to make sure of the forecast for the next few weeks is to keep your eyes peeled to the forecast as it is constantly changing since the battleground seems to be where Ireland is located and all forecasting services are struggling with this one coming out with different scenarios. One thing is for certain the mild weather that we saw early in January will not be repeated until some time in February and probably late in that month.

HyperSmash

Snow Risk increases

The risk of snow has increased over the past few model runs and Ireland would get a similar event to 2010 if the charts were to pan out. However this is all very uncertain and weathergossip thinks that the most likely scenario is for a brief cold snap with some snow and a lot of frosty nights. The long term forecast sees another push of cold air from the East into Ireland and this one may have more success. This is forecast to happen in the last week of January and the start of February so this could be a very cold period indeed.