November Starts Quietly

A quiet start to November is now on the cards with the High Pressure over Scandanavia intensifying. This is going to push the weather fronts westwards meaning only Western fringes of Ireland will see any rain and the Mild and Dry Autumn will continue. Met Offices define Autumn as September, October and November and so far this Autumn rainfall has been below 40% of normal in some parts and well below normal in all parts of Ireland. Indeed in the British Isles the only region that has seen rainfall up to normal is Scotland.

FORECAST FOR END OF OCTOBER - Wet at first, Dry for Halloween

NOVEMBER - Dry at first with frosty nights. Becoming more unsettled after 10th

DECEMBER - Cool and Unsettled at first becoming drier and quieter pre Xmas.

XMAS - Mild and Wet unfortunately.

East West Battle

A Classic East West battle of weather conditions will end the month of October with Rain to the West and Dry weather developing to the East on the Continent as High Pressure becomes firmly established. If the High wins out there is the potential there for a cold start to the Winter but if the Low which is going to be over Ireland for at least part of next week wins out then we are in for some milder conditions. Its a moment that could define Winter!

Quiet October.

So far October has been an extremely quiet month weatherwise in Sligo. This is set to continue for the coming week with the unsettled weather not arriving until the last third of the month. Thereafter a lot of rain and wind is forecast for much of the end of October and November. Very long term weather forecasts for Ireland are predicting a not so white Christmas this year as in not at all but there will be a lot of dry weather around the pre Christmas period. So in brief this is what the current forecast up until the end of the year is

OCTOBER 9TH - 20TH................MOSTLY DRY AND SETTLED

OCTOBER 21ST - 31ST.................RAIN SOME DRY SPELLS

NOVEMBER.....................VERY WET OVERALL, COLD 20-23RD

DECEMBER.....................RAINFALL AVERAGE DRY AROUND XMAS

Updates to these forecasts at http://www.weathergossip.com/
www.weathergossip.com/autumn.html
www.weathergossip.com/winter.html

Dry spell on the way

The weather over most parts of Ireland is set to settle down once more ..........(where was this in Summer)

The scenarios most likely are

From Sunday 11th October 2009..............HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD

From Wed 14th October.............................HIGH IS ESTABLISHED OVER IRELAND

From Fri 16th October..............................VERY STRONG HIGH ESTABLISHED TO THE EAST

This could last well into the second week and up to 20th October. There will be interruptions at times over the North and West but overall rainfall in Ireland for the month of October will be near or below normal though the heavy rain in the East on 6th October has brought up their monthly totals considerably. Regular updates can be seen for the monthly forecast at www.weathergossip.com/daytoday.html

Heavy Rain Oct 6th

A heavy rain event occurred in the East and South of the Country

Top of the pile was Johnstone Castle Co Kilkenny with 44mm
Then came Roches Point Co Cork with 40 Valentia Co Kerry with 34
and Shannon with 31.

The Capital(Dublin) too had a wet day with 28mm at Casement
over an inch 25mm at Dublin Airport and 23mm Pheonix Park.

First Frost of the Season in Ireland

The first ground frost of the season occurred on the night of October 6th with temperatures in Mullingar Station of 0(zero!) celcius. This is not unusual but it was quite sudden considering the rather mild nights Ireland has been having of late. Sligo has not seen frost yet and indeed last night the temperature only dipped to 7c as the Atlantic blew in some cloud that acted as a type of a blanket to keep the relatively mild air of the day in. For more go to www.weathergossip.com home page.

Dry Autumn change on way

So far this Autumn in both Ireland and the UK has been quite dry but this is about to change from 2nd October onwards with wind and showers becoming established once more. In particular the night of Oct 2nd is looking very windy in the North and West of the British Isles. Gales of up to 50knots will be recorded in some places. On Saturday the winds will still be around but there on they should ease during the day. Showers will continue to be widespread especially for Northern and Western areas as the prevailing wind will be blowing in from this direction. Sunday looks a much brighter and better day for everyone.