Long Range Weather Update....

At this stage there has been a big shift in Long Range prediction and it now looks like November will be a very wet and cold showery month in Ireland. After a very cold first week though temperatures should rise slightly for most of the rest of November but there will still be wet and windy spells.

LIKELY FORECAST

NOVEMBER
Wet and Cold for first week. Milder for the rest of month with some dry spells

DECEMBER
Wet at first then a long dry spell but wet again for Xmas

November Starts Quietly

A quiet start to November is now on the cards with the High Pressure over Scandanavia intensifying. This is going to push the weather fronts westwards meaning only Western fringes of Ireland will see any rain and the Mild and Dry Autumn will continue. Met Offices define Autumn as September, October and November and so far this Autumn rainfall has been below 40% of normal in some parts and well below normal in all parts of Ireland. Indeed in the British Isles the only region that has seen rainfall up to normal is Scotland.

FORECAST FOR END OF OCTOBER - Wet at first, Dry for Halloween

NOVEMBER - Dry at first with frosty nights. Becoming more unsettled after 10th

DECEMBER - Cool and Unsettled at first becoming drier and quieter pre Xmas.

XMAS - Mild and Wet unfortunately.

East West Battle

A Classic East West battle of weather conditions will end the month of October with Rain to the West and Dry weather developing to the East on the Continent as High Pressure becomes firmly established. If the High wins out there is the potential there for a cold start to the Winter but if the Low which is going to be over Ireland for at least part of next week wins out then we are in for some milder conditions. Its a moment that could define Winter!

Quiet October.

So far October has been an extremely quiet month weatherwise in Sligo. This is set to continue for the coming week with the unsettled weather not arriving until the last third of the month. Thereafter a lot of rain and wind is forecast for much of the end of October and November. Very long term weather forecasts for Ireland are predicting a not so white Christmas this year as in not at all but there will be a lot of dry weather around the pre Christmas period. So in brief this is what the current forecast up until the end of the year is

OCTOBER 9TH - 20TH................MOSTLY DRY AND SETTLED

OCTOBER 21ST - 31ST.................RAIN SOME DRY SPELLS

NOVEMBER.....................VERY WET OVERALL, COLD 20-23RD

DECEMBER.....................RAINFALL AVERAGE DRY AROUND XMAS

Updates to these forecasts at http://www.weathergossip.com/
www.weathergossip.com/autumn.html
www.weathergossip.com/winter.html

Dry spell on the way

The weather over most parts of Ireland is set to settle down once more ..........(where was this in Summer)

The scenarios most likely are

From Sunday 11th October 2009..............HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD

From Wed 14th October.............................HIGH IS ESTABLISHED OVER IRELAND

From Fri 16th October..............................VERY STRONG HIGH ESTABLISHED TO THE EAST

This could last well into the second week and up to 20th October. There will be interruptions at times over the North and West but overall rainfall in Ireland for the month of October will be near or below normal though the heavy rain in the East on 6th October has brought up their monthly totals considerably. Regular updates can be seen for the monthly forecast at www.weathergossip.com/daytoday.html

Heavy Rain Oct 6th

A heavy rain event occurred in the East and South of the Country

Top of the pile was Johnstone Castle Co Kilkenny with 44mm
Then came Roches Point Co Cork with 40 Valentia Co Kerry with 34
and Shannon with 31.

The Capital(Dublin) too had a wet day with 28mm at Casement
over an inch 25mm at Dublin Airport and 23mm Pheonix Park.

First Frost of the Season in Ireland

The first ground frost of the season occurred on the night of October 6th with temperatures in Mullingar Station of 0(zero!) celcius. This is not unusual but it was quite sudden considering the rather mild nights Ireland has been having of late. Sligo has not seen frost yet and indeed last night the temperature only dipped to 7c as the Atlantic blew in some cloud that acted as a type of a blanket to keep the relatively mild air of the day in. For more go to www.weathergossip.com home page.

Dry Autumn change on way

So far this Autumn in both Ireland and the UK has been quite dry but this is about to change from 2nd October onwards with wind and showers becoming established once more. In particular the night of Oct 2nd is looking very windy in the North and West of the British Isles. Gales of up to 50knots will be recorded in some places. On Saturday the winds will still be around but there on they should ease during the day. Showers will continue to be widespread especially for Northern and Western areas as the prevailing wind will be blowing in from this direction. Sunday looks a much brighter and better day for everyone.

September 2009 Temperatures Sligo

Weather for October

The next month of the season is October and this traditionally brings a great mix of weather.
Temperatures by day are usually around 12 to 14c and night time values with be in low single figure ranges in clear weather. There are often a lot of storms in Ireland in October especially late on for some reason.
October of 2009 promises a bit of the same really to be honest. The month may start off dry in Ireland with some bright spells and light winds but rain will soon sweep in from the North and West. This will be the pattern for the whole month from then on with just brief dry intervals. However although rainfall will be plentiful throughout the month there will not be the high figures that we saw during July and August. Temperatures will be well up to normal too and some mild nights may well mean that Ireland will experience one of its warmer Octobers. Frost often occurs during this mid -Autumn month but this will not be the case in 2009 as the Atlantic will influence the weather for the most part.

September to end on a High?

The Area of High pressure that is bringing the current welcome spell of fine and settled weather (albeit with cool nights) looks like fighting until the end of September at least. It may not be over us but it will be near Ireland and the UK possibly to the Northeast with the Autumn Lows kept out frustrated in the Atlantic wondering whats happened their ease of access over the Summer. Temperatures of 17c are likely a lot of days till the end of the month but the monthly average temperature is down on average due to some uncharacteristically cool nights. In Ballyhaise in Co Cavan the temperature dipped to 2.2c on 13th September!

Weather for Remainder of September

The weather forecast for the rest of September is looking fairly dry overall when compared to normal especially over the South and the East. In recent days temps have been around the 20c mark hitting 22c at times in the South west of Ireland as the final dregs of Summer heat are dragged out.

The second half of September is now close by and this means that the nights are getting longer and the possibility of 20c being reached are becoming less and less likely. Still temperatures will probably stay respectable for the period around the 17c mark but nights have been cool since the start of the Autumn and there was even a grass frost on 12th in parts of the midlands.

Toward the end of September and especially in the period after 20th the West and North will see a lot more in the way of rain with rainfall totals in this period here near or above the seasonal average. The South and East will fare a lot better with rain below average but sunshine totals will only be average for the time of year too.

Dry weather here to stay.

Its here at last and it deserves to be in BOLD. The dry weather that has been championed for virtually the whole seond half of the Summer has finally arrived as planned in September. Now the nights will be chilly in the countryside of Ireland and the UK but the towns and cities will be 8 or 9c as opposed to the 4 or 5c that will be experienced in the country. This weather is going to last too (because its not Summer anymore) as long as 20th September but the most likely period is 15th or 16th

Heres the scenarios:

September 15th or 16th - Weather breaks in North and West 20%

September 17th - 18th - Breaks Countrywide 60%

September 19th - 20th - Breakdown occurs with wind and rain 15%

September 21st onwards - Unsettled weather till the end of the month

UPDATES WILL OCCUR....................

Signs of improvement

All signs are there for an improvement in the weather from next wednesday 9th September. original forecasts pointed to a better picture from 5th September but a "fly in the ointment" Low Pressure intervened and is going to bring some more rain and winds for the next couple of days, although there will be some dry spells as well. Temperatures will be a rather cool 15 or 16c. After this things should pick up with the sun breaking through and rainfall becoming less plentiful and temperatures reaching the Low Twenties. How long this lasts is open to debate but long range forecasts are showing High Pressure to the South and West of Ireland for the Rest of September (and not 500 miles to the South like in July and August).

Summer ends in ... Floods!

After one of the wettest Summers on record, August sure went out with a bang. A whopping 36.7mm of rain fell in Sligo flooding many of the towns roads ("road flooded" signs were everywhere) while at the station in Johnstone Castle in Kilkenny there was 34.6mm. The figure of 36.7mm in Sligo was the wettest day recorded at the weathergossip weather station since its inception at the start of May. It also has made August a lot wetter overall than it had been in the provisional graphs for Summer that are printed on this blog.

September??

Throughout the whole of Summer it has been predicted here that September would bring a lot of dry warm weather. This may be still the case, however the first week will NOT bring any dry days to Britain or Ireland. Apart from some heat in the Southeast of England on 1st September the rest of the first week will be unsettled with wind and rain or showers. It is the period of 7th to 21st September that most forecasters are keeping their eyes peeled to. There are signs of a strong High Pressure Intensifying in these days but whether it breaks the Low Pressure stronghold over Ireland is difficult to tell because this pattern has become so established. There are 2 possibilities

1. High makes meandering apperances and rain interrupts occasionally
Confidence 50%

2. High Pressure becomes firmly established. Little or no Rain.
Confidence 20%

As usual weathergossip will continue to bring you updates...

Summer 2009 - Another Wet one

The final results of Summer 2009 are yet to come in but if we look at the results at my own weather station in sligo we can see it was a wet and mild Summer. Temperatures in Sligo were 1degrees above nrmal. Rainfall was 120per cent of average except in July when it was twice the normal and the wettest for 50 years in parts of the East and South. Winds were not such a strong feature except the number of breezy or windy days inceased in August as you would expect. Heatwaves were rare except for a 2 week spell at the start of June and a short period in July at start. The highest temperature of the Summer in Sligo was 24.7c the lowest was 9.0c. The highest wind gust was 43mph and the highest rainfall in a day was 28.4mm on 23rd August.

A Wet Weekend Gone!....and more to come!!?

Rainfall totals for the Western half of Ireland for 22/23rd August ranged from 25mm in the Northwest to 45mm in the Southwest. And we're not out of the woods just yet either. Some further heavy rain (30mm) is forecast for Wednesday and then some more wet windy weather on Friday 28th (10mm). After this the signs point to a slight improvement especially in the South. In Sligo there were 28.4mm of rain at the weathergossip weather station making it the wettest day here since the new station was set up in May, therefore Sunday 23rd August will probably go down as Sligo's wettest day of Summer 2009. The warmest day of 24.7c will now not be beaten unless something freak happens in September but long term weather forecasts are still predicting a mainly dry September for Ireland and the UK.

Hurricane Bill hits Ireland!!!!

Well its not that dramatic. But on August 26th the remains of Hurricane Bill will pass very close to the North Coast of Ireland with the potential for some strong winds here for a time. There may be gusts of 50 to 60mph. There will be a close eye kept on this to see how its track towards the US develops. It is forecast to sweep away from the East coast of the US and track past Newfoundland and toward our shores by the middle of next week.

Remaining unsettled

Inspite of some valiant attempts by High Pressure to establish itself over Ireland over the past few weeks the Low Pressures continue to be the dominant force as Lows stream down from Greenland and Iceland and High Pressures to the North of this encourage their movement over the British Isles. The following few weeks are now looking like continuing unsettled with windy and wet with some sunshine in between rain each day. Will it ever end? It seems not at present. The final hope is that High over Scandanavia or Azores will make its presence felt over Ireland during September but even this seems more like hope now than possibility. But weathergossip will keep you up to date with all the latest changes.

Late August Reprieve???

Is there finally a reprieve from all the unsettled weather. Well it is hard to say. However models now show pressure rising in late August bringing a welcome improvement in the weather with temperatures in the 20s. This depends on a lot of things and weather patterns change a lot but from the last week of August onwards things look better. The thing is tomorrow I could look at the weather models and they will show rain. That is how delicate these models are. Think of getting a glass of water then putting a drop of Ribena in it and stirring it a little and thats our weather(the purple being rain!!)

Quieter August on Offer

August overall, will be a much quieter month than its wet predecessor. Temperatures are currently in the range 16 to 19c and this will probably be the daily average over the month. There will however be some wet and windy days too and this weekend is looking a bit Autumnal for Friday and Saturday especially. Rainfall for the month will be much less than Julys record breaking figures.However the North and West will probably see more rain and less in the way of sunshine than the South and East.

July Weather Summary Ireland

Apart from a short spell of dry weather between the 7th and 9th, rain or showers were recorded on eachday during July, resulting in record high monthly totals at some stations. The weather pattern of theprevious two summers was repeated, with Atlantic depressions tracking over or close to Ireland,producing substantial falls of rain at times, with frequent thunderstorms. The north and northwest ofthe country fared relatively well, however; in these areas the lowest rainfall totals were recorded and bothmean temperatures and sunshine amounts were well above normal. Over twice the normal July rainfalltotals were recorded over most parts of the country, with more than three times the normal amount inparts of Leinster and Munster. It was the wettest July for over 50 years in many places and the wettest onrecord at a number of stations, including Valentia Observatory, where records began more than acentury ago. Dublin (Phoenix Park)’s total of 122mm was its highest for July since 1936, while JohnstownCastle’s total of 222mm represents 389% of its normal July fall. Most stations recorded between 19 and25 wetdays during the month (days with 1mm or more rainfall), twice the normal range for July ofbetween nine and 13. There was localised flooding in both eastern and western areas on the 2ndfollowing severe thunderstorms; Dublin Airport’s value of 42mm on this day was its highest on recordfor July. Temperatures showed little variation during the month and were near or a little above normalthroughout. Many stations recorded their highest values on either the 1st or 2nd, but at a number ofstations the temperature did not rise above 20°C on any day. Despite the very high rainfall totals,sunshine amounts were above normal generally, with many days having sunny mornings and earlyafternoons, before the development of showers. Sunshine totals were highest in the north and northwestof the country, where Belmullet’s total of 188 hours was its highest for July since 1982.

UK Met Office get Flak

The UK Met Office previously predicted a "barbeque Summer" which here at weathergossip has slightly downgraded to a Summer of warm spells interspersed with cooler periods. Now most of the warmth seems to be behind us. I would sympathize with Met Office as the are a useful and accurate resource for all weather forecasting and they did say it would only be a "65%" chance of a good Summer. It questions whether it is a good idea to offer a seasonal forecast when it is in the infancy of its scientific development. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2009/pr20090729.html

No end in sight

The unsettled weather is here to stay. Certainly for all of July and for most of August too. There may be brief interludes of dry days in between but it looks like rain every day at some stage for the rest of July (except maybe Saturday 25th). So far Dublin Airport has had more rain than July 2008 and 3 times its summer average for July.

Weather Rest of July

It will remain cool showery and unsettled until the last few days of July when a High to the West will be trying to sneak in. Ultimately it will not succeed in August though and the cool and showery weather will return. Unfortunate but this is what the weather models are signalling for now for the UK and Ireland.

July Weather Graph

So far July has been characterized by normal temperatures and humid and showery conditions with no real sign of settled conditions. Here is a temperature and pressure graph for Sligo.

Hell Low

Starting this weekend the weather will be taking a turn for the worst for at least a week.
Large totals of Rain are likely in both Ireland and the UK and it will be windy at times too.
As earlier posted July looks like it will not bring the warm sunny weather of June so
the beaches will be empty by the looks of things. Once this Atlantic dominance of lows is established it is very difficult to change so the only hope is that the High to the South takes a notion to push up.

Showery July

A bland old month is forecast for July with rain most days but some warm sun at times too. However the wind direction has changed to a W or NW direction for a while to come. This will mean the South and East will get the higher temperatures now (Not the West) and the North and West will have to settle for the mid to high teens. 27.5c was recorded in Birr and Claremorris on 2nd June and this wont be beat this year, also in England and Wales the near 32c at Wisley now looks like a hard target to beat. Thats because after this bland weather with temperatures hovering around normal ends the nights will already be a little bit longer but you never know.

Thunderstorms strike East/West Coast

Dublin Fire Brigade is appealing to people not to travel this morning unless absolutely necessary after torrential overnight downpours caused widespread flooding. On the Evening of 3rd July Flooding also occurred in Mayo around Castlebar, Westport and Newport.

for more go to this link http://www.rte.ie/news/2009/0702/dublin.html

and here http://www.met.ie/news/display.asp?ID=21 .

There has been over a months rainfall in Dublin already this month.

June Summary from Met Eireann

The Weather of June 2009: Warm and mainly wet; sunniest June for over 50 years in places 01 July 2009

There were warm and sunny conditions at times during June, but also spells of cool and unsettled weather, producing heavy rain at times. Very warm weather at the beginning and end of the month brought mean monthly air temperatures above normal everywhere, especially in western and southwestern areas. Mean monthly values were between one and two degrees above normal generally and it was the warmest June since 1970 at a number of stations.

However, temperatures fell significantly during the second week; after reaching around 25°C at the start of the month, the maximum temperature in Dublin was below 10°C on the 6th, a day of heavy rain and strong northeasterly winds. The maximum value of 9.4°C at Dublin (Phoenix Park) on this day was its lowest such value for June in well over a century of records at the station.

It was a relatively dry month in parts of the west and north, but rainfall totals were above normal at most stations. Much of the month’s rainfall was recorded on relatively few days, however; at Dublin Airport, for example, over 80% of the month’s total of 65mm was recorded on just two days. Most stations recorded between six and 12 wet days during the month (days with 1mm or more rainfall), compared with the normal range for June of between nine and 15. There were heavy daily falls in places on the 6th, 12th/13th, 16th/17th and 26th, with widespread thunderstorms at times; a tornado was reported near Castlerea, Co. Roscommon, on the 12th. A very localised thunderstorm in the Derrybeg area of County Donegal on the 23rd produced significant flooding in the area; estimated rainfall there of around 50mm within a 3-hour period would be expected to occur once every 100 years.

Sunshine totals were above normal everywhere and it was a particularly sunny month in the west and north, where some stations had their sunniest June since 1957. More than 15 hours of daily sunshine were widely recorded on one or more days in the period 1st to 4th.

Heatwave for UK

Britain is set for a heatwave this week with parts of Ireland benefitting too in particular the Eastern side http://uk.news.yahoo.com/21/20090629/tuk-britain-set-for-week-long-heatwave-6323e80.html

Hot week for 28th June!

Yes possibly the hottest week yet of the Summer coming up in the next few days with teperatures exceeding 26c and higher in some place. The current high is 27.5c in Claremorris. It may be beat this week. After this though a cooler interlude for the week of 5th July.

Warm weather to last?

Well it certainly does look like there will be high temperatures and some warm sunshine in Ireland and the UK until next Tuesday at least ..... maybe in July the winds will swing to a cooler Northerly and though there will still be a fair amount of dry weather temperatures will plummet back to the mid teens. After a week of this the warm pattern with some thundery showers should return, showers should not be as plentiful as previous Summers though. Europe (France and Spain) are braced for some really hot (40c) weather to start July!

30c for first week of Wimbledon

Not a misprint. There are some early signs of hot days in part of next week as the High moves to the Eastern side of the British Isles (the more favoured position). So it would be a good bet that 30c will be reached in London at some stage. 24 or 25c will be expected here in Ireland.

Summer to Return?

If youve clicked here from the sister page you are probably looking for a Long Range Forecast so I will give you one for Ireland and Britain. This week will have a warm Tuesday of 20 to 24c , however it will be very cool on Wednesday and Thursday compared with showers and temperatures of 15 to 19c. As Low pressure is to the North the Azores High will make its first attempt of the Summer to push in. It may succeed this year. How far the "h" of the High gets over us will determine the warmth but some pleasant weather should ensue from Friday to at least midweek of the following week and temperatures will be around 20c at least.

weathergossip moves up the charts

Yes we are now at number 2 in google and number 17 in yahoo (they have crawled us later than google) depending on the keywords you put in.

This proves the popularity of some honest to goodness humorous weather. Only Martin King
and his humorous weather on TV3 is beating weathergossip on one particular search.

Some Weatherlore

Ring near moon - Rain not for a few hours.
Ring far from moon - Rain soon.
Hazy watery sun - Rain imminent.
Wind from East- Not fit for neither man nor beast.
Wind from South - Rain in its mouth.
Blue flame in the fire - Strong Winds on way.
Sheep on the hill - Weather set Fair.
Red Sky at night - Next days alright
Red sky in morning - Rain warning

Heavy Rain!

Dublin and Casement saw 33mm and 44mm respectively on 6th June!

10 ways to make money at lunchtime | Yahoo! Finance

10 ways to make money at lunchtime Yahoo! Finance

Met Eireann Stats for Great Spell

From Friday May 29th through to Tuesday June 2nd, the maximum daytime temperatures rose steadily on each successive day, with the highest values achieved on the afternoon of Tuesday June 2nd. Sharing top spot were Claremorris Co Mayo and Birr Co Offaly, both of which saw the temperatures touch 27.5 degrees Celsius. The 27 degree target was also reached in Mountdillon Co Roscommon (27.1o) and Newport Co Mayo (27.0o). Temperatures of 26 degrees or greater were recorded across a wide swathe of the country, from Caherciveen in the southwest to Ballyhaise in Co Cavan.

These temperatures are higher than any recorded across Ireland during the 2007 and 2008; we have to go back to 2006 to find comparable weather, when temperatures topped 30 degrees in a few stations during July of that year.

In terms of June temperatures, the figure of 27.5 degrees represents the highest value achieved in both Birr and Claremorris in 14 years; in 1995 June values of 29.7 (Birr) and 29.0 (Claremorris) were recorded. The all time record June temperatures for both stations were set in 1976 when temperatures reached 31.2o and 29.8o respectively.

The other outstanding feature of the weather over the June weekend was the sunshine, with many stations recording between 14 and 15 hours of direct sunlight on June 1st and June 2nd in particular. However the longest duration of daily sunshine through the period was recorded in Knock airport on Wednesday 3rd - at 15.7 hours this represents the sunniest day recorded in Knock in its 13 years of weather measurement. Two stations recorded 15.5 hours; Cork Airport (Monday and Tuesday) and Caherciveen (Tuesday). Because the summer solstice falls in June the records for bright sunshine for almost all weather stations fall in this month; the exception is Rosslare whose sunniest day was in July 1971.

Temperatures Ireland 2nd June

Max
Min

Ballyhaise
26.5
8.1


Belmullet
23.7
13.4

Birr
22.1

Casement
24.9
11.9




Claremorris

27.5
10.7



Cork Airport

21.0

Dublin Airport

24.5
14.4


Finner Camp

24.7
11.7

Johnstown Castle
24.2
13.0


Knock Airport
19.3

Malin Head

18.3
12.0


Mullingar

26.6
8.8


Oak Park
26.8
8.8



Roches Pt
20.1
11.5



Shannon Airport

26.9
10.8


Valentia

26.1
9.6

Data were produced on 03-Jun-2009 07:50:01 Please see Notes Below

Warm weather to continue till Midweek

The current hot spell we are enjoying here in Ireland is going to last until next Wednesday and after this it gets a lot cooler but at least it should stay dry. Temperatures for Tuesday and Wednesday will continue to be 23 or 24c so it will be tough looking out the window of work at it but after this it will be cooler as a more northerly element enters the wind. The High Pressure moves to the Northwest and then towards the end of the week a thundery trough will move up over Ireland from the Bay of Biscay. What happens after this will have a major bearing on how our Summer will turn out.

The warmth is coming

The warm weather of the Summer is arriving for the Bank holiday weekend or so were told. I will be very disappointed if it does not occur in some way shape or form. The temperature should be 22c and there should be a Southeast wind blowing that will turn Easterly later in the weekend meaning dry winds and a lot of benefits for that sodden ground in your garden.

How to survive the recession.

There are numerous ways to survive during a recession.



1. When you have a job save for that rainy day and dont be spending like a mad thing.



2. Keep applying for jobs so that applying for jobs is your job so much so that when those important interviews do come up you will be a dab hand at it.



3. Be flexible and look out for new avenues and ways of making money. They exist everywhere and while some of them may seem desperate they may just work in the short term and any money is good money.



4. Recruitment agencies, papers, Ads, TV, Radio keep your eyes peeled for all of their ads everywhere. Youll be surprised at what eventually falls into your lap and you may even laugh at it some day.



5. Never give up hope because without hope there are no jobs.



6. Lastly remember to have a laugh every now and again and to stay happy because potential employers like people who are smart bright and happy.

hey there

here is a blogedy blog. I am new to this help me or visit me wbsite at www.weathergosssip.com do I just type